Earth Networks’ WeatherBug Meteorology Team Forecasts Above-Average 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season
EarthNetworks’ WeatherBug Meteorology Team Forecasts Above-Average 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Germantown, MD – May 30, 2013 – With portions of the East Coast still recovering from the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy, the WeatherBug Meteorology Team at Earth Networks is forecasting an above-average 2013 Atlantic hurricane season. The season runs from June 1 to November 30 and includes the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.
The Earth Networks - WeatherBug Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast includes the following predictions:
Tropical Storm Outlook: The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season will include 14-18 named tropical storms. By comparison, the years from 1981 to 2010 averaged 12 named storms. More recently, the years from 1995-2012 have been more active, averaging about 15 named tropical storms.
Hurricane Forecast: Seven to 10 of these storms could become hurricanes with sustained winds of 74 mph or higher. Three to five are predicted to become major hurricanes with winds in excess of 111 mph. In comparison, 1981 to 2010 averaged about 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. Seasons from 1995-2012 showed increased activity, averaging about 8 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes per year.
U.S. Landfall Threat: Despite the above-normal forecast, the potential for hurricane landfall in the U.S. is expected to remain normal for the 2013 season. However, it only takes one landfall to destroy lives and livelihoods: In 2011, Hurricane Irene was the only hurricane that reached the U.S., yet killed 45 and caused over $7 billion in damages. In October 2012, Hurricane Sandy claimed over 70 lives in the U.S.and caused more than $70 billion in damages.
Why the above-average outlook? EarthNetworks Senior Meteorologist Julie Gaddy explains, “We expect sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic to be warmer than average. This is part of a 20-30-year cycle that began in 1995 and has corresponded to increased hurricane activity. Further, neutral El Niño - La Niña Southern Oscillation (ENSO)conditions – meaning that there is no El Niño to increase wind shear in the tropical Atlantic and decrease the potential for tropical activity – are contributing to the expectation of a more active 2013 season.”
Colorado State University predicted an above-average season, with about 18 named tropical storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes this season. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts an above-average season, bringing the possibility of 13-20 named storms, 7-11 hurricane and 3-6 major hurricanes.
About the Earth Networks - WeatherBug Atlantic Hurricane Forecast
Every spring, the WeatherBug Meteorology team at Earth Networks evaluates historical and breaking weather information to forecast the likelihood and intensity of tropical storm and hurricane activity in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico. The team examines global atmospheric and oceanic temperatures and trends, the state of the El Niño - La Niña Southern Oscillation, various climate indices, and long-term computer forecast models.
Be Prepared, Stay Informed
Americans living near the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Coast must prepare for the upcoming hurricane season. Visit the WeatherBug Hurricane Center to learn how to prepare for hurricane season. Turn to the WeatherBug desktop app, website and mobile phone apps for the latest weather in your neighborhood, severe weather alerts, and 2013 hurricane season coverage. Get updates anywhere on Twitter at http://twitter.com/WeatherBug.
About Earth Networks - WeatherBug
For 20 years, we have been Taking the Pulse of the Planet® by gathering and analyzing atmospheric observations using the world’s largest weather monitoring and lightning detection networks so our customers can Know Before™. Real-time weather and lightning data – gathered every few seconds from thousands of sensors across the planet – keep consumers, businesses, and governments around the globe informed with neighborhood-level weather intelligence, updated with the most current forecasts, and alerted to approaching severe weather with the fastest alerts. The company’s popular WeatherBug® mobile, desktop and online apps, and website provide local weather, superior forecasts and advanced severe weather alerts to millions of consumers. Earth Networks’ enterprise solutions support utilities, schools, professional sports teams, emergency response crews, government entities and others in safeguarding lives, preparing for weather events, and optimizing business operations. Learn more at www.earthnetworks.com. Get your weather at www.weatherbug.com. Follow Us on Twitter @WeatherBug and Like Us at www.facebook.com/WeatherBug.