Earth Networks Releases 2018 Hurricane Season Outlook

  • May 17, 2018

Earth Networks Releases 2018 Hurricane Season Outlook

The 2018 Hurricane Season kicks off June 1st, but several forecasters are already making their predictions for the upcoming season. Earth Networks released their 2018 Hurricane Season Outlook on Tuesday, May 15, 2018 during a free, 1-hour webinar.

You can gain access to our 2018 Hurricane Season Outlook webinar by clicking the link below. This is the most detailed version of our findings available, presented by Earth Networks Senior Meteorologist, James Aman.

WATCH THE WEBINAR

Key Takeaways from 2018 Hurricane Season Outlook

This year, our Earth Networks meteorologists are predicting 10 to 15 named storms to form. Out of these storms, we expect five to eight to develop into hurricanes. Our forecast calls for two to four of those hurricanes to be major hurricanes with sustained winds of at least 111 mph. This is very close to the long-term Atlantic season average.

Other Outlooks

We’re not the only ones who come up with a 2018 Hurricane Season Outlook. The Colorado State University released a key Hurricane Season Outlook in early April. Its prediction includes 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. The United States government’s National Hurricane Center has not issued its seasonal hurricane forecast yet.

El Niño Wildcard

There is a wildcard in both forecasts. This wild card is a possible El Niño. There is a chance of a weak El Niño developing in late summer to early autumn. Since this is the peak of traditional hurricane season, this could bring relief to areas impacted by last year’s active hurricane season.

El Niño is a periodic development of warmer than normal water temperatures across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. This periodic change affects weather patterns throughout the Pacific Basin. It also contributes to increased wind shear in the Atlantic Hurricane Basin.

How does this play into the 2018 Hurricane Season? Wind shear makes it difficult for tropical systems to develop. It also makes it difficult for tropical systems to grow. This helps counteract the increased Atlantic hurricane activity seen in the past decade.

Hurricane Basics and Review of the 2017 Season

The Atlantic Hurricane Basin includes the following areas:

  • Caribbean Sea
  • The Gulf of Mexico
  • Florida Strait
  • Tropical and subtropical Atlantic Ocean north of the Equator from the African coast to North and Central America

According to the United States government’s Hurricane Research Division, during the 47-year period from 1968 to 2015, the Atlantic Hurricane Basin produced an average of 11.8 named storms, 6.2 hurricanes, and 2.4 major hurricanes per year.

The 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season was a busy and costly one. This season included:

  • 17 named storms
  • 10 hurricanes
  • Six major hurricanes

Major hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria defined the season. They caused billions of dollars in damage in the U.S., the Caribbean, and Puerto Rico. Hurricane Harvey alone produced more than $125 billion in damage in Texas and along the U.S. Gulf Coast. This tied Hurricane Katrina as the costliest – in adjusted dollar terms – hurricanes in U.S. history.

Hurricane Safety

The best way to increase hurricane safety is preparedness. There are plenty of safety tips to follow to prepare for hurricane season. Some include taking photos of your property in case there is damage. You should also stock up on the right foods in the case of power outages.

It’s also important to think about your workplace too. Hurricanes can do serious physical damage to businesses. Conditions that accompany hurricanes can also do a lot of operational and financial damage as well. Make sure your workplace is hurricane prepared this season so you can mitigate hurricane risks.

If you have any hurricane safety tips you’d like to share or any questions about our webinar, please let us know in the comments section below.